The Future of Russia. A Change from Within?

Historic events are unfolding on the European continent, with the coming months having the potential not only to decide the course of the war in Ukraine and the nation’s fate but also to outline the future security architecture in Europe. There is a lot of talk about what Russia’s future might look like after the war and whether that future will offer an opportunity for democratic revival. Are there any cracks in Russia’s federal structure? Is the discontent among regional civic actors and ethnic minorities rising? And if so, what scenarios could emerge post-Putin? What are the prospects for fragmentation, decentralisation, and regional autonomy in a post-Putin Russia, and what is the role of indigenous and minority populations in shaping internal dissent? Does the opposition in exile have the potential to engage with the regional movements?