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International Centre for Defence and Security Accessibility

Panel discussion under the Chatham House Rule

Holding on to the Umbrella: The Future of Nuclear Deterrence

May 17, 10:00-11:15

Signals about potential changes to long-established military doctrines, together with debates over developing independent capabilities, have brought credible nuclear deterrence back to the forefront. Acknowledging that there is no viable substitute for nuclear weapons, we once again enter the murky waters—and subterranean domains of submarines and silos—to revisit some of the most pressing questions for European security. How do we ensure credible nuclear deterrence amid multiple wars, changing dynamics in the transatlantic Alliance, Russia’s nuclear brinkmanship, and China’s military buildup? What are the risks and benefits of moving towards multiple, smaller nuclear umbrellas for Europe’s deterrence posture?

Speakers

Dmitry Adamsky

Professor at Reichman University

Héloïse Fayet

Head of the Deterrence and Proliferation Programme at the French Institute of International Relations

Nicole Grajewski

Assistant Professor at Sciences Po

Olga Oliker

Director of the Europe and Central Asia Programme at the International Crisis Group

Carolina Vendil Pallin

Deputy Research Director of the Swedish Defence Research Agency

Moderator

Andrea Kendall-Taylor

Senior Fellow and Director of the Transatlantic Security Programme at the Center for a New American Security

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