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Man Plans, and God Laughs

Due to Covid-19 pandemic, the 14th Lennart Meri Conference planned for 15 May 2020 was postponed until September 2021. However, we did not give in to the pandemic and provided the friends of LMC some food for thought, spirit of the LMC, with a special online edition of ICDS Diplomaatia magazine.


Analyses, commentaries and interviews that decode foreign, security and defence policy trends and published in the Lennart Meri Conference special edition of ICDS Diplomaatia magazine.

My Neighbour’s Problem Today – Mine Tomorrow

2,000 years ago, the Roman poet Horace said: “You too are in danger, when your neighbour’s house is on fire” (nam tua res agitur, paries cum proximus ardet). Today, when states seem to prefer to retract into their shells like turtles rather than fight global…

LMC 2021
A billboard with Chinese President Xi Jinping looking down over a boulevard in Belgrade next to the words “Thank you brother Xi”, a message paid for and created by a pro-government tabloid in Serbia.

COVID-19 and the Search for European Strategic Autonomy

A virus has redefined power politics. On the big stage, the European Union needs not only to prop up the multilateral order, but also to promote a multipolar order and develop into a power among powers.

U.S. President Joe Biden at the EU-U.S. summit in Brussels in June 2021. Relieving the U.S. of some of the burden of European defense means giving the Biden administration more leeway to protect democracy at home, Constanze Stelzenmüller argues.

America Is Back, but… Europe and Especially Germany Need To Do Much More for European Security

It took President Joe Biden nearly five months before he made his first trip abroad in June, to Europe; he had more important things to do. Arguably, that is still the case today.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel and US President Joe Biden leave a joint news conference in the White House in July 2021.

The Battle Is Not Entirely Lost: Ukraine after the US-German Nord Stream 2 Deal

Nord Stream 2 bypasses Ukraine, reducing the value of Ukraine’s gas transit system to Europe, increasing the probability of military threats from Russia, decreasing the reliability of gas supply to Ukraine and hurting the Ukrainian economy.

LMC 2021

Kersti Kaljulaid: The Impact of the NATO Battlegroup Has Been Enormous

According to President Kersti Kaljulaid, establishing a NATO battlegroup was ingenious. And she often reminds her colleagues that their strategic patience should at least match that of their political ancestors, that is, 50 years.

LMC 2021
Mistral short-range air defence missile system.

Close to the Wind

In my 2015 report, “The Coming Storm” (2015) I highlighted the strategic incoherence of the Baltic Sea region.

LMC 2021