Lennart Meri Conference 2013
“The North-South Split: Managing a New World Order”
May 24-26, 2013, Tallinn, Radisson Blu hotel
Friday, May 24
17:00-18:30
Opening session
The North-South Split: a New World Order?
Video
Toomas Hendrik Ilves President of Estonia
Alaa Murabit Founder and President, Voice of Libyan Women
Anders Åslund Senior Fellow, Peter G. Peterson Institute of International Economics
Jiali Ma Senior Researcher on South Asian Security and China-India Relations, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations
Moderated by: Konstantin von Eggert Editor-in-Chief, Kommersant FM Radio
18:45 Transfer to the House of the Blackheads
19:00 Dinner, hosted by the President of Estonia Toomas Hendrik Ilves
(By invitation only)
21:30 Transfer to the Hotel
22:00 Night owl sessions
Georgia – What Price Political Stability?
Irakli Alasania Defence Minister of Georgia
Tedo Japaridze Chairman of the Georgian Parliament’s Committee on International Affairs
Batu Kutelia Deputy Secretary at the National Security Council of Georgia
Vladimir Socor Senior Fellow, Jamestown Foundation
Moderated by: Matthew Bryza Director of the ICDS
China, India and the US: a Tripolar World?
Harinder Sekhon Independent Strategic Analyst, Formerly with the National Security Council, Government of India
Jiali Ma Senior Researcher on South Asian Security and China-India Relations, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations
Dan Hamilton Executive Director of the Centre for Transatlantic Relations
François Géré President, Institut Français d’Analyse Stratégique (IFAS)
Moderated by: Theo Sommer Editor-at-Large, DIE ZEIT
Russia’s North and South: Consolidation or Disintegration?
Paul Goble Former Special Adviser on Soviet Nationality Issues and Baltic Affairs
Ivan Sukhov Head of Caucasian Broadcasting of the Russian Service of Radio Voice of Russia
Sergei Tsyplyaev Former Representative of the Russian President to the North-Eastern Region, Member of the Aleksei Kudrin Committee of Citizens’ Initiatives
Moderated by: Peter Semneby Ambassador of Sweden to Afghanistan
Central Asia: Growing Strategic Importance?
Ahmed Rashid Writer and Journalist, Pakistan
Rustamjon Abdulloevich Soliev Ambassador of the Republic of Tajikistan to Belgium
Edgars Rinkēvičs Minister of Foreign Affairs, Latvia
Svante Cornell Research Director, the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center
Moderated by: Bobo Lo Independent Scholar and Consultant, UK
Saturday, May 25
8:00-9:00
Breakfast sessions
Vilnius: A Defining Moment for the Eastern Partnership?
Michael Köhler Director for the Neighbourhood, DG DEVCO-F, European Commission
Natalia Gherman State Secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration, Moldova
Hryhoryi Nemyria Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada (Ukrainian Parliament) Committee on European Integration, Former Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine
Andrius Kubilius Former Prime Minister of Lithuania
Moderated by: David Kramer President of Freedom House
Out of Gas: Russia’s Economic Future
Alan Riley Professor, City Law School, UK
Peter Balas Deputy Director General, DG Trade, European Commission
Anders Åslund Senior Fellow, Peter G. Peterson Institute of International Economics
Andrei Illarionov Senior Fellow, Cato Institute’s Centre for Global Liberty and Prosperity
Moderated by: John Lough Associate Fellow, Russia & Eurasia Programme
Chatham House
Poland and Germany: Rebalancing the Weimar Triangle?
Henryka Mościcka-Dendys Undersecretary of State in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Poland
Thomas Bagger Head of Policy Planning Unit, Federal Foreign Ministry, Germany
Janusz Bugajski Independent Foreign Policy Expert, United States of America
Ian Brzezinski Resident Senior Fellow Atlantic Council
Moderated by: Konstantin von Eggert Editor-in-Chief, Kommersant FM Radio
9:00-10:30
Panel discussion
For Domestic Consumption, with International Impact: Russia’s Foreign Policy Rhetoric
Video
Boris Nemtsov Former Deputy Prime Minister of Russia
James Sherr Associate Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme, Chatham House
Eckart von Klaeden Minister of State in the Federal Chancellery and a member of the Bundestag, Germany
David Kramer President of Freedom House
Moderated by: Kadri Liik Senior Policy Fellow, ECFR, London Office
Coffee
11:00-12:30
Panel discussion
More Austerity or Something Else? Rebuilding Europe’s Economy
Video
Valdis Dombrovskis Prime Minister of Latvia
Fernando Teixeira dos Santos Economist, Former Minister of Finance of the Portuguese Government
Federica Mogherini Member of Italian Parliament
Anders Åslund Senior Fellow, Peter G. Peterson Institute of International Economics
Moderated by: Anton La Guardia EU correspondent, Economist
12:30-13:45
Lunch
14:00-16:00
Optional events:
• Tour of Tallinn’s Old Town
• Visit to the Seaplane Harbour and Maritime Museum
• Visit to the Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence*
• Visit to the ICT Demo Center*
*number of participants limited
16:00-17:30
Panel discussion
The Future of the EU: Is Less Europe More?
Video
Toomas Hendrik Ilves President of the Republic of Estonia
Carl Bildt Minister for Foreign Affairs of Sweden
Robert Cooper Counsellor at the European External Action Service
Boris Tadič Former President of the Republic of Serbia
Moderated by: Theo Sommer Editor-at-Large, DIE ZEIT
Coffee
18:00-19:30
Panel discussion
Afghanistan: What Future for the Graveyard of Empires?
Video
Ahmed Rashid Writer and Journalist, Pakistan
Shukria Barakzai Member of the House of the People (Wolesi Jirga), National Assembly of Afghanistan
Vygaudas Ušackas European Union’s special representative for Afghanistan
Andrei Piontkovsky Leading Researcher, Institute for Systems Studies
Moderated by: Lyse Doucet Chief International Correspondent and Presenter BBC
19:30-20:00
Face to Face with
Video
Boris Tadič Former President of the Republic of Serbia
Carl Bildt Minister for Foreign Affairs of Sweden
Moderated by: Robert Cooper Counsellor at the European External Action Service
20:00
Networking dinner in the conference hotel
21:30
Night owl sessions
Narrow National Interest: an Obstacle to Wider Nordic-Baltic Energy Security?
Juhan Parts Minister of Economic Affairs and Communication, Estonia
Kari Liuhto Director, Centrum Balticum Foundation, University of Turku
Michael Köhler Director for the Neighbourhood, DG DEVCO-F, European Commission, Former Head of Cabinet to the Commissioner of Energy
Andrius Kubilius Former Prime Minister of Lithuania
Moderated by: Matthew Bryza Director of the ICDS
Middle East Peace: Does Turkey Have the Tools and Skills?
Alaa Murabit Founder and President, Voice of Libyan Women
Zeyno Baran Bryza Senior Fellow (on leave) with the Hudson Institute’s Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World
Noman Benotman President of the Quilliam Foundation, UK
Hossein Bastani Political Analyst, BBC World
Moderated by: Lyse Doucet BBC Presenter and Special Correspondent
Subsidies, Sanctions, Subversion: the West’s Options in Belarus
Andrei Sannikov Coordinator, Civil Campaign “European Belarus”
Boris Nemtsov Former Deputy Prime Minister of Russia
Arkady Moshes Director of Programme, Finnish Institute of International Affairs
Jana Kobzova Policy Fellow, ECFR’s Wider Europe Programme Coordinator, UK
Moderated by: Pavol Demeš Senior Transatlantic Fellow, German Marshall Fund of the USA
Alignments in the Alliance: Is there a North-South Split in NATO?
Ian Brzezinski Resident Senior Fellow Atlantic Council
Tomas Valašek Ambassador, Permanent Representative of Slovakia to NATO
Jüri Luik Ambassador of Estonia to Russia
Stian Jenssen Policy Advisor, Office of the Secretary General NATO
Moderated by: Anton La Guardia EU correspondent, Economist
Sunday, May 26
08:00-09:00
Breakfast sessions
Nordic-Baltic Security: Is Non-Alignment Still an Option?
Karlis Neretnieks (Ret) Major General, Member of the Board of the Royal Swedish Academy of War Sciences, Member of the Board at the Swedish Atlantic Council
Pauli Järvenpää Senior Research Fellow of the ICDS
Urban Ahlin Member of the Swedish Parliament
Stian Jenssen Policy Advisor, Office of the Secretary General NATO
Moderated by: Hanna Smith Researcher, Aleksanteri Institute and the Finnish Centre of Excellence for Russian Studies, University of Helsinki
The UK-EU Relationship: Therapy or Divorce?
Alan Riley Professor, City Law School, UK
Thomas Bagger Head of Policy Planning Unit, Federal Foreign Ministry, Germany
Christopher Coker Head of Department, The London School of Economics and Political Science
Graham Avery Senior Adviser at the European Policy Centre, Brussels
Moderated by: Michael Weiss Institute of Modern Russia
Mali: Can We Intervene, Can We Afford Not To?
François Géré President, Institut Français d’Analyse Stratégique (IFAS)
Erik Männik Senior Research Fellow of the ICDS, Estonia
Noman Benotman President of the Quilliam Foundation, UK
Kurt Volker Executive Director of the McCain Institute
Moderated by: François Lafond Member of the Scientific Committee, Institute of European Democrats, Brussels/Paris
The Visegràd 4 and the Nordic-Baltic 6: A New Force in Europe?
Eugeniusz Smolar Foreign Policy Expert, Warsaw
Andrius Kubilius Former Prime Minister of Lithuania
Veiko Spolitis Parliamentary Secretary, Latvian Ministry of Defence
Mike Winnerstig Security Policy Analyst and Project Manager, FOI, Sweden
Moderated by: György Schöpflin Member of European Parliament, Hungary
09:00-10:30
Panel discussion
Transatlanticism after the “Pivot”: Alliance, Partnership or Divergence?
Video
Kurt Volker Executive Director of the McCain Institute
Federica Mogherini Member of Italian Parliament
Eugeniusz Smolar Foreign Policy Expert, Warsaw
Constanze Stelzenmüller Senior Transatlantic Fellow, the GMF Berlin Office
Moderated by: Teri Schultz Journalist, covering EU and NATO for U.S. media
Coffee
11:00-12:30
Panel discussion
Cyber Security and Foreign Affairs – Managing Tensions, Maintaining Stability
Video
Toomas Hendrik Ilves President of Estonia
Sandro Gaycken Cyber Security Strategist of the German Federal Foreign Office
Felix Lindner Head of Recurity Labs, Germany
Brandon Valeriano Lecturer in Politics and Global Security School of Social and Political Sciences, University of Glasgow
Rose Gottemoeller Acting Undersecretary for Arms Control and International Security, U.S. Department of State
Moderated by: Rain Ottis Associate Professor at Tallinn University of Technology
12:30-13:30
Closing session
Key Note:
Lennart Meri Lecture
Video
Mart Laar Member of Estonian Riigikogu (Parliament)
Final words
Video
14:00
Farewell lunch