Agenda

Lennart Meri Conference 2013
“The North-South Split: Managing a New World Order”
May 24-26, 2013, Tallinn, Radisson Blu hotel

Friday, May 24

17:00-18:30

Opening session

The North-South Split: a New World Order?
Video

Toomas Hendrik Ilves President of Estonia
Alaa Murabit Founder and President, Voice of Libyan Women
Anders Åslund Senior Fellow, Peter G. Peterson Institute of International Economics
Jiali Ma Senior Researcher on South Asian Security and China-India Relations, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations

Moderated by: Konstantin von Eggert Editor-in-Chief, Kommersant FM Radio

18:45 Transfer to the House of the Blackheads

19:00 Dinner, hosted by the President of Estonia Toomas Hendrik Ilves
(By invitation only)
21:30 Transfer to the Hotel

22:00 Night owl sessions

Georgia – What Price Political Stability?
Irakli Alasania Defence Minister of Georgia
Tedo Japaridze Chairman of the Georgian Parliament’s Committee on International Affairs
Batu Kutelia Deputy Secretary at the National Security Council of Georgia
Vladimir Socor Senior Fellow, Jamestown Foundation

Moderated by: Matthew Bryza Director of the ICDS

China, India and the US: a Tripolar World?
Harinder Sekhon Independent Strategic Analyst, Formerly with the National Security Council, Government of India
Jiali Ma Senior Researcher on South Asian Security and China-India Relations, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations
Dan Hamilton Executive Director of the Centre for Transatlantic Relations
François Géré President, Institut Français d’Analyse Stratégique (IFAS)

Moderated by: Theo Sommer Editor-at-Large, DIE ZEIT

Russia’s North and South: Consolidation or Disintegration?
Paul Goble Former Special Adviser on Soviet Nationality Issues and Baltic Affairs
Ivan Sukhov Head of Caucasian Broadcasting of the Russian Service of Radio Voice of Russia
Sergei Tsyplyaev Former Representative of the Russian President to the North-Eastern Region, Member of the Aleksei Kudrin Committee of Citizens’ Initiatives

Moderated by: Peter Semneby Ambassador of Sweden to Afghanistan

Central Asia: Growing Strategic Importance?
Ahmed Rashid Writer and Journalist, Pakistan
Rustamjon Abdulloevich Soliev Ambassador of the Republic of Tajikistan to Belgium
Edgars Rinkēvičs Minister of Foreign Affairs, Latvia
Svante Cornell Research Director, the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center

Moderated by: Bobo Lo Independent Scholar and Consultant, UK

Saturday, May 25

8:00-9:00

Breakfast sessions

Vilnius: A Defining Moment for the Eastern Partnership?
Michael Köhler Director for the Neighbourhood, DG DEVCO-F, European Commission
Natalia Gherman State Secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration, Moldova
Hryhoryi Nemyria Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada (Ukrainian Parliament) Committee on European Integration, Former Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine
Andrius Kubilius Former Prime Minister of Lithuania

Moderated by: David Kramer President of Freedom House

Out of Gas: Russia’s Economic Future
Alan Riley Professor, City Law School, UK
Peter Balas Deputy Director General, DG Trade, European Commission
Anders Åslund Senior Fellow, Peter G. Peterson Institute of International Economics
Andrei Illarionov Senior Fellow, Cato Institute’s Centre for Global Liberty and Prosperity

Moderated by: John Lough Associate Fellow, Russia & Eurasia Programme
Chatham House

Poland and Germany: Rebalancing the Weimar Triangle?
Henryka Mościcka-Dendys Undersecretary of State in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Poland
Thomas Bagger Head of Policy Planning Unit, Federal Foreign Ministry, Germany
Janusz Bugajski Independent Foreign Policy Expert, United States of America
Ian Brzezinski Resident Senior Fellow Atlantic Council

Moderated by: Konstantin von Eggert Editor-in-Chief, Kommersant FM Radio

9:00-10:30

Panel discussion

For Domestic Consumption, with International Impact: Russia’s Foreign Policy Rhetoric
Video

Boris Nemtsov Former Deputy Prime Minister of Russia
James Sherr Associate Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme, Chatham House
Eckart von Klaeden Minister of State in the Federal Chancellery and a member of the Bundestag, Germany

David Kramer President of Freedom House

Moderated by: Kadri Liik Senior Policy Fellow, ECFR, London Office

Coffee

11:00-12:30

Panel discussion

More Austerity or Something Else? Rebuilding Europe’s Economy
Video

Valdis Dombrovskis Prime Minister of Latvia
Fernando Teixeira dos Santos Economist, Former Minister of Finance of the Portuguese Government
Federica Mogherini Member of Italian Parliament
Anders Åslund Senior Fellow, Peter G. Peterson Institute of International Economics
Moderated by: Anton La Guardia EU correspondent, Economist

12:30-13:45

Lunch

14:00-16:00

Optional events:

• Tour of Tallinn’s Old Town

• Visit to the Seaplane Harbour and Maritime Museum
• Visit to the Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence*
• Visit to the ICT Demo Center*

*number of participants limited

16:00-17:30

Panel discussion

The Future of the EU: Is Less Europe More?
Video

Toomas Hendrik Ilves President of the Republic of Estonia
Carl Bildt Minister for Foreign Affairs of Sweden
Robert Cooper Counsellor at the European External Action Service
Boris Tadič Former President of the Republic of Serbia
Moderated by: Theo Sommer Editor-at-Large, DIE ZEIT

Coffee

18:00-19:30
Panel discussion

Afghanistan: What Future for the Graveyard of Empires?
Video

Ahmed Rashid Writer and Journalist, Pakistan
Shukria Barakzai Member of the House of the People (Wolesi Jirga), National Assembly of Afghanistan
Vygaudas Ušackas European Union’s special representative for Afghanistan
Andrei Piontkovsky Leading Researcher, Institute for Systems Studies
Moderated by: Lyse Doucet Chief International Correspondent and Presenter BBC

19:30-20:00

Face to Face with

Video

Boris Tadič Former President of the Republic of Serbia
Carl Bildt Minister for Foreign Affairs of Sweden

Moderated by: Robert Cooper Counsellor at the European External Action Service

20:00

Networking dinner in the conference hotel

21:30

Night owl sessions

Narrow National Interest: an Obstacle to Wider Nordic-Baltic Energy Security?
Juhan Parts Minister of Economic Affairs and Communication, Estonia
Kari Liuhto Director, Centrum Balticum Foundation, University of Turku

Michael Köhler Director for the Neighbourhood, DG DEVCO-F, European Commission, Former Head of Cabinet to the Commissioner of Energy
Andrius Kubilius Former Prime Minister of Lithuania

Moderated by: Matthew Bryza Director of the ICDS

Middle East Peace: Does Turkey Have the Tools and Skills?
Alaa Murabit Founder and President, Voice of Libyan Women
Zeyno Baran Bryza Senior Fellow (on leave) with the Hudson Institute’s Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World
Noman Benotman President of the Quilliam Foundation, UK
Hossein Bastani Political Analyst, BBC World

Moderated by: Lyse Doucet BBC Presenter and Special Correspondent

Subsidies, Sanctions, Subversion: the West’s Options in Belarus
Andrei Sannikov Coordinator, Civil Campaign “European Belarus”
Boris Nemtsov Former Deputy Prime Minister of Russia
Arkady Moshes Director of Programme, Finnish Institute of International Affairs
Jana Kobzova Policy Fellow, ECFR’s Wider Europe Programme Coordinator, UK
Moderated by: Pavol Demeš Senior Transatlantic Fellow, German Marshall Fund of the USA

Alignments in the Alliance: Is there a North-South Split in NATO?
Ian Brzezinski Resident Senior Fellow Atlantic Council
Tomas Valašek Ambassador, Permanent Representative of Slovakia to NATO
Jüri Luik Ambassador of Estonia to Russia
Stian Jenssen Policy Advisor, Office of the Secretary General NATO

Moderated by: Anton La Guardia EU correspondent, Economist

Sunday, May 26

08:00-09:00

Breakfast sessions

Nordic-Baltic Security: Is Non-Alignment Still an Option?
Karlis Neretnieks (Ret) Major General, Member of the Board of the Royal Swedish Academy of War Sciences, Member of the Board at the Swedish Atlantic Council
Pauli Järvenpää Senior Research Fellow of the ICDS
Urban Ahlin Member of the Swedish Parliament
Stian Jenssen Policy Advisor, Office of the Secretary General NATO

Moderated by: Hanna Smith Researcher, Aleksanteri Institute and the Finnish Centre of Excellence for Russian Studies, University of Helsinki

The UK-EU Relationship: Therapy or Divorce?
Alan Riley Professor, City Law School, UK
Thomas Bagger Head of Policy Planning Unit, Federal Foreign Ministry, Germany
Christopher Coker Head of Department, The London School of Economics and Political Science
Graham Avery Senior Adviser at the European Policy Centre, Brussels

Moderated by: Michael Weiss Institute of Modern Russia

Mali: Can We Intervene, Can We Afford Not To?
François Géré President, Institut Français d’Analyse Stratégique (IFAS)
Erik Männik Senior Research Fellow of the ICDS, Estonia
Noman Benotman President of the Quilliam Foundation, UK

Kurt Volker Executive Director of the McCain Institute

Moderated by: François Lafond Member of the Scientific Committee, Institute of European Democrats, Brussels/Paris

The Visegràd 4 and the Nordic-Baltic 6: A New Force in Europe?
Eugeniusz Smolar Foreign Policy Expert, Warsaw
Andrius Kubilius Former Prime Minister of Lithuania
Veiko Spolitis Parliamentary Secretary, Latvian Ministry of Defence
Mike Winnerstig Security Policy Analyst and Project Manager, FOI, Sweden

Moderated by: György Schöpflin Member of European Parliament, Hungary

09:00-10:30

Panel discussion

Transatlanticism after the “Pivot”: Alliance, Partnership or Divergence?
Video

Kurt Volker Executive Director of the McCain Institute
Federica Mogherini Member of Italian Parliament
Eugeniusz Smolar Foreign Policy Expert, Warsaw
Constanze Stelzenmüller Senior Transatlantic Fellow, the GMF Berlin Office

Moderated by: Teri Schultz Journalist, covering EU and NATO for U.S. media

Coffee

11:00-12:30

Panel discussion

Cyber Security and Foreign Affairs – Managing Tensions, Maintaining Stability
Video

Toomas Hendrik Ilves President of Estonia
Sandro Gaycken Cyber Security Strategist of the German Federal Foreign Office
Felix Lindner Head of Recurity Labs, Germany
Brandon Valeriano Lecturer in Politics and Global Security School of Social and Political Sciences, University of Glasgow

Rose Gottemoeller Acting Undersecretary for Arms Control and International Security, U.S. Department of State

Moderated by: Rain Ottis Associate Professor at Tallinn University of Technology

12:30-13:30

Closing session

Key Note:

Lennart Meri Lecture
Video

Mart Laar Member of Estonian Riigikogu (Parliament)

Final words
Video

14:00

Farewell lunch